The world has been walking from crisis to crisis and we see risks that this may not change. The importance of that dynamic for the precious metals is mirrored by the high correlation between potential US GDP growth and gold quotations. Interest rates globally are set to remain low, which in turn reduces the opportunity costs of holding a non-yielding asset like gold. We believe gold prices could rise to $1,500/oz near-term. We called a bottom in silver in April on supply and demand dynamics; an overshoot of prices to $30/oz is possible.
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