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Re: Sultan Knish... 

By: DueDillinger in CONSTITUTION | Recommend this post (2)
Fri, 24 Aug 12 5:20 AM | 93 view(s)
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Msg. 19401 of 21975
(This msg. is a reply to 19398 by monkeytrots)

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Don't both parties have to be rational for MAD deterrence to work?

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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Sultan Knish...
By: monkeytrots
in CONSTITUTION
Fri, 24 Aug 12 2:34 AM
Msg. 19398 of 21975

An excellent summary article by Daniel of the current situation - and his analysis is spot on.

That said - There is a snowball's chance in hell that Israel will act against Iran before or during the election.

Why ? Too much to risk - on the possibility that Romney/Ryan will be taking office and might actually do something about the situation (they won't - but the 'hope' is there). Wiping out Iran's nuclear capability, a very, very long shot indeed, would actually accomplish very little. Pakistani nukes would quickly fill the void - or Chinese, or Russian.

The reality is that Israel has been reduced to only the 'retaliatory' strike option for the use of nukes on Israel. Mecca and Medina would cease to exist - and the entire muslim world knows this to a certainty.

The MAD option is the only one remaining - and unfortunately, that is probably the way it is going to go.


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