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Re: Sultan Knish...

By: monkeytrots in CONSTITUTION | Recommend this post (0)
Fri, 24 Aug 12 2:34 AM | 133 view(s)
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Msg. 19398 of 21975
(This msg. is a reply to 19397 by DueDillinger)

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An excellent summary article by Daniel of the current situation - and his analysis is spot on.

That said - There is a snowball's chance in hell that Israel will act against Iran before or during the election.

Why ? Too much to risk - on the possibility that Romney/Ryan will be taking office and might actually do something about the situation (they won't - but the 'hope' is there). Wiping out Iran's nuclear capability, a very, very long shot indeed, would actually accomplish very little. Pakistani nukes would quickly fill the void - or Chinese, or Russian.

The reality is that Israel has been reduced to only the 'retaliatory' strike option for the use of nukes on Israel. Mecca and Medina would cease to exist - and the entire muslim world knows this to a certainty.

The MAD option is the only one remaining - and unfortunately, that is probably the way it is going to go.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Sultan Knish...
By: DueDillinger
in CONSTITUTION
Thu, 23 Aug 12 9:47 AM
Msg. 19397 of 21975

Must read! Here are the first and last paragraphs of an excellent piece by Daniel Greenfield on the brink of war in the Mideast.

Countdowns in Tehran and Jerusalem

If Israel jets show up in Iranian airspace, it will most likely happen while Obama is too busy accusing Mitt Romney of secretly storing all his money in a giant cave in the Rocky Mountains to do more than dispatch a flunky to chew out Netanyahu over the phone. The election is the perfect window for a strike on Iran's nuclear program, because Team Obama will be too tied down on the Romney Front to do much damage to Israel.

...

The liberal West has its illusions about the enemy. Israel has little room for those illusions. It will act when Washington is too busy fighting itself to focus on restraining it. It will act because it is alone as few other countries on earth are. It will act because it cannot afford to be Poland, Czechoslovakia or Tibet-- sacrificed in the great game of nations. It will act because it has no real choice but to act. It will act because for it this is not a set of talking points, a diplomatic program or a regional agenda, it is life or death. It will act, because for all its flaws, its survival is on the line.

That sense of a nation's survival and the life of a people hinging on a single course of action has become an alien one in an insulated world. It is not a thing that Washington D.C or Brussels can take seriously. It is not even a thing that all Israelis take seriously anymore. But those who hear the clock ticking know what is coming. They know the hard choices that will come in the months ahead. And they will make those choices as they made them before, because they will choose to survive.

Gotta read the whole thing:

http://sultanknish.blogspot.com/2012/08/countdowns-in-tehran-and-jerusalem.html

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