« CONSTITUTION Home | Email msg. | Reply to msg. | Post new | Board info. Previous | Home | Next

Re: Al Q's larger strategy

By: lkorrow in CONSTITUTION | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 19 Dec 11 8:10 PM | 37 view(s)
Boardmark this board | Constitutional Corner
Msg. 16619 of 21975
(This msg. is a reply to 16613 by lkorrow)

Jump:
Jump to board:
Jump to msg. #

Another possibility is the US and Pakistan have dessimated al Qaeda to the extent that they have nothing left to fight, we've clobbered them and al Zawahiri's twiddling his thumbs. One has to wonder if the Shazahd's book is true about al Qaida's designs on Turkey and Central Asia. And is it possible they see the MB's non-violent successes in the Springs and are changing their tune? Now that al Qaeda's Egyptian, are they swinging back to MB ways? TOL.




Avatar




» You can also:
- - - - -
The above is a reply to the following message:
Al Q's larger strategy
By: lkorrow
in CONSTITUTION
Mon, 19 Dec 11 9:51 AM
Msg. 16613 of 21975

snorf says, "obahama: RECONSTITUTING OUR ENEMIES"

Between this comment and the anti-American protests in Pakistan, here's some thoughts:

Seems we clearly want out of AfPak and Iraq. What's significant is suddenly there is little or no opposition to our doing so.

Al Qaeda's strategy had been to engage us in many theaters and economically destroy us, bringing us down like they think they brought down the USSR.

Perhaps they (al Qaeda, whom is the entity running the AfPak theater, from the enemy side) can't take the heat anymore. Instead of engaging us in many theaters they just want us out of their face.

That's a major change in strategy.

Why?

I propose that the Arab Springs have opened up so many opportunities that al Qaeda's spread too thin and they need to focus on these opportunities and others in motion.

Al Qaeda and the Muslim Brotherhood could be considered competitors with the same goal. Now all these "Spring" countries are up for grabs and the US keeps smacking them on the head, diverting their attention from expansion.

See, too, p. 192, Shazad, last paragraph in the section, re: new alQ targets:

"In the meantime, [al Qaeda] was working on its other project -- to reestablish geographical connections with the Arab world, Turkey, and the Central Asian republics in order to build more fortresses for new theaters of war. All roads went through Iran..."

In spite of the huge numbers they mustered in Pakistan and their acceptance of the ideology of global jihad, the AfPaki jihadists are locally-oriented. So AlQ Central needs to free themselves up and focus on jihad in the Muslim World, not against the world of the Western infidel.

That's my current thinking.


« CONSTITUTION Home | Email msg. | Reply to msg. | Post new | Board info. Previous | Home | Next