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Re: XEC is in serious 'buy' territory again ... 

By: DueDillinger in CONSTITUTION | Recommend this post (1)
Fri, 19 Aug 11 5:05 AM | 21 view(s)
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Msg. 14540 of 21975
(This msg. is a reply to 14539 by monkeytrots)

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XEC is a long-term winner, mon, but although it would have been wise to have bought today's weakness, I expect to see further weakness as we move through crash season. There's plenty of downside possible for this one before it regains its value. Accumulate on weakness and sell into strength rather than plopping down a big bet guessing at a bottom.

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The above is a reply to the following message:
XEC is in serious 'buy' territory again ...
By: monkeytrots
in CONSTITUTION
Fri, 19 Aug 11 4:38 AM
Msg. 14539 of 21975

It hit a '52 week low' today of 61.41, and closed at $62.47 on above average volume (but NOT a huge volume for this stock - normal shakeout - probably showing what Due refers to as 'capitulation' - but I'm not a chartist).

I consider the oil and gas PRODUCER stocks, of solid companies (which XEC is extremely solid) to be better than gold - for those that are looking for fairly non-volatile earners.

Note that XEC is PRIMARILY a NATGAS producer - with a very high percentage of their revenue coming from natgas. It is about a 60/40 split (gas/oil) - which is extremely high for a mid-sized independent oil company. This is a GOOD THING - not a downside. August is a 'low month' for natgas prices historically. It picks up in Sept and Oct as storage gets stocked for the winter. I have NOT checked the current 'storage' numbers to see if they are above or below normal - but consider that rather immaterial at the current time.

REMEMBER - OIL AND GAS have INTRINSIC VALUE to the economy of the world, indeed - it is a FUNDAMENTAL commodity, and probably the MOST valuable commodity of any. It can NOT be replaced with other items - as metals, crops, and other 'fundamental' commodities can be - making the 'others' somewhat fungible in nature.


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