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Re: Billionaire activist investor Bill Ackman calls on Trump to 'shut down' the U.S. for the next 30 days 

By: Decomposed in POPE 5 | Recommend this post (1)
Mon, 06 Apr 20 7:08 AM | 40 view(s)
Boardmark this board | Pope 5 		Msg. 58065 of 62138
(This msg. is a reply to 55964 by Decomposed)
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BTW, I think China has made this mistake. If I'm right, its epidemic will be back in the next month.
- Decomposed, March 18, 2020#msg-1125346

I was wrong. It wasn't a month. It was 18 days.

If this latest Chinese outbreak grows, it's a bad, bad omen for the rest of us.

April 5, 2020

Mainland China sees rise in new coronavirus cases

• 30 new cases reported on Saturday vs 19 day earlier
• 5 new local transmissions reported, all in Guangdong
• China remains worried about second wave of infections (Adds details on new cases in mainland China, background, bylines)

by Yilei Sun and Se Young Lee
Reuters

BEIJING, April 5 (Reuters) - Mainland China reported 30 new coronavirus cases on Saturday, up from 19 a day earlier as the number of cases involving travellers from abroad as well as local transmissions increased, highlighting the difficulty in stamping out the outbreak.

The National Health Commission said in a statement on Sunday that 25 of the latest cases involved people who had entered from abroad, compared with 18 such cases a day earlier. Five new locally transmitted infections were also reported on Saturday, all in the southern coastal province of Guangdong, up from a day earlier.

The mainland has now reported a total of 81,669 cases, while the death toll has risen by three to 3,329.

Though daily infections have fallen dramatically from the height of the epidemic in February, when hundreds of new cases were reported daily, Beijing remains unable to completely halt new infections despite imposing some of the most drastic measures to curb the virus' spread.

The so-called imported cases and asymptomatic patients, who have the virus and can give it to others but show no symptoms, have become among China's chief concerns in recent weeks. The country has closed off its borders to almost all foreigners as the virus spread globally, though most of the imported cases involve Chinese nationals returning from overseas.

The central government also has pushed local authorities to identify and isolate the asymptomatic patients.

The health commission said 47 new asymptomatic cases were reported in the mainland on Saturday, compared with 64 a day earlier.

http://news.trust.org/item/20200404235657-jkjit




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Gold is $1,581/oz today. When it hits $2,000, it will be up 26.5%. Let's see how long that takes. - De 3/11/2013 - ANSWER: 7 Years, 5 Months


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Billionaire activist investor Bill Ackman calls on Trump to 'shut down' the U.S. for the next 30 days
By: Decomposed in POPE 5
Thu, 19 Mar 20 12:19 AM 		Msg. 55964 of 62138

Nemo:

Re: "Yeah that fool!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"Yep, he's probably wrong. The reason he's wrong is that his recommendation might eliminate 95 percent of the infections, but the remaining 5 percent would still be there. When his shut down ends, the U.S. will be back to where it was in late February. A month later, the numbers will return to where they are today.

What he hasn't considered is that there haven't been enough survivors yet to create a herd immunity in the general population. Wiping out the disease temporarily will be just that: Temporary. Once 50 million people or so have been infected and survived, SARS-CoV-2 will have a harder time spreading and will slow down. Until then, it won't.

BTW, I think China has made this mistake. If I'm right, its epidemic will be back in the next month.


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