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Re: The U.S. Coronavirus Curve *is* Flattening 

By: Decomposed in POPE 5 | Recommend this post (2)
Sun, 05 Apr 20 9:55 AM | 49 view(s)
Boardmark this board | Pope 5 		Msg. 57974 of 62138
(This msg. is a reply to 57965 by ribit)
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ribit:

Re: "...the same number of dead folks spread out over a longer period of time. I fail to see what we are winning here."There are two curves where flattening is desirable. The first... the one you're thinking of... is the bell curve of cases per day. In that one, flattening the curve's eventual peak (blue instead of red in the first chart, below) does indeed spread out the number of dead folks over a longer period. But because there aren't so many serious cases at once, the healthcare system doesn't get overwhelmed and folks therefore don't die who should have lived.

I was actually referring to the flattening of a different curve, that being the log chart of total coronavirus cases in the United States. In it, there is no peak - the total only gets bigger and bigger since it includes every case that there has ever been - and "flattening" means a leveling off in those ever-increasing totals with "flat" indicating that the increasing has stopped. "Flat" is the ultimate goal.

Here are examples of both:





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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: The U.S. Coronavirus Curve *is* Flattening
By: ribit in POPE 5
Sun, 05 Apr 20 6:16 AM 		Msg. 57965 of 62138

...the same number of dead folks spread out over a longer period of time. I fail to see what we are winning here.

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