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Re: Experts propose 27 day quarantine, say 14 days likely not long enough 

By: Decomposed in POPE 5 | Recommend this post (2)
Sun, 23 Feb 20 1:15 PM | 47 view(s)
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Msg. 53000 of 62138
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South Korea has had a more than ten-fold increase in cases in a week.

South Korea's "Patient Zero" turns out to have not had the virus at all. So the country has no idea who the real Patient Zero is or who came in contact with that person.

A girl who never showed symptoms infected five others.

An awful lot of the world that believes itself virus-free is undoubtedly infected by now.

Compared to the flu: If I understand the numbers I just read in a technical paper correctly... influenza infects one billion people annually, killing about 500,000. Its mortality rate is therefore 0.05 percent. Covid-19's mortality rate is perhaps fifty times higher. (I believe China has lied to us and the rate is higher than that. We'll know when stats on the Diamond Princess's patients becomes available in a few weeks.) The 1918 influenza's mortality rate was five hundred times higher.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Experts propose 27 day quarantine, say 14 days likely not long enough
By: Decomposed
in POPE 5
Sat, 22 Feb 20 8:07 PM
Msg. 52951 of 62138

Those aboard the Diamond Princess who did not test positive have already been released into Japan's general population.

At 121 cases, Japan is now where China was on January 22nd. (This does not include the 600+ confirmed cases from the cruise ship.)

South Korean cases have surged 8-fold in 4 days to 433.

200 people are under medical observation in San Diego.


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