by Dave Kranzler with Chris Marcus via Investment Research Dynamics
“People were purchasing bulbs at higher and higher prices, intending to re-sell them for a profit. Such a scheme could not last unless someone was ultimately willing to pay such high prices and take possession of the bulbs. In February 1637, tulip traders could no longer find new buyers willing to pay increasingly inflated prices for their bulbs. As this realization set in, the demand for tulips collapsed” – “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds,” Charles Mackay
“So yes, in a way I’m saying we can keep going up while at risk of reverting at any moment” – NorthmanTrader.com
The market is melting up and indicators that a top is approaching are proliferating. This is one of the typical anecdotes that accompany markets nearing a top: On CNBC last Wednesday morning the hosts plus a couple guests were discussing the market and one of the guests said that value doesn’t matter anymore “it’s all about momentum.” I almost fell off my chair when I heard that because the “fundamentals don’t matter it’s all about momentum” was one of the mantras in late 1999.
Chris Marcus (Arcadia Economics) and I discuss the current stock market melt-up and whether or not it can be shorted with success and how to manage the risks of being short:
http://www.investmentwatchblog.com/stock-bubbles-and-dutch-tulip-bulbs/
Only thing I have to say to this is,,,,,,,THINGS Have changed,,, the metrics at which valuations, and the way the markets work have never been in this space before. ANY news is good news, as long as the fed is in survival node, trying to hold this eCONomy up. Period.......
Realist - Everybody in America is soft, and hates conflict. The cure for this, both in politics and social life, is the same -- hardihood. Give them raw truth.
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