Nemo:
Re: "Trump Will Be Winner in 2020 Election"Goldman Sachs just said pretty much the same thing. They don't say it's guaranteed, but they're making him the odds-on favorite.
A big difference between these predictions and the rubbish being posted to Pffffart3 is that our predictions aren't by propagandists. I mean, Goldman Sachs says Trump will win???? Wow. That's unexpected.
April 15, 2019
Goldman Economists Say Trump Re-Election More Likely Than Not
by Simon Kennedy
Bloomberg.com
• Incumbency and state of economy help Trump’s chances
• Trump ‘more likely to win’ than lose second term, says Goldman
Donald Trump arrives for a campaign rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
President Donald Trump enjoys a “narrow advantage” over rival candidates heading into the 2020 election given the outlook for the U.S. economy, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Incumbent presidents carry a 5 to 6 percentage-point edge over rival candidates in the popular vote and Goldman Sachs’s economic forecast also leans in favor of Trump, although that is partly offset by his negative approval rating, economists Alec Phillips and Blake Taylor wrote in a report released late on Saturday.
“The advantage of first term incumbency and the relatively strong economic performance ahead of the presidential election suggest that President Trump is more likely to win a second term than the eventual Democratic candidate is to defeat him,” said Phillips and Blake.
Goldman Sachs currently predicts the U.S. economy will grow 2.5 percent this year and 2.3 percent in 2020, a pace that will be enough to push unemployment down to 3.3 percent next year from 3.7 percent this year.
Historically, Phillips and Taylor found variables such as employment and income are better indicators of an election result than market-based forces such as equity or oil prices. The performance of the economy in the second quarter of the election year is often a strong guide to the result, they said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-14/trump-slams-fed-again-says-stocks-should-be-5-000-10-000-higher
Gold is $1,581/oz today. When it hits $2,000, it will be up 26.5%. Let's see how long that takes. - De 3/11/2013 - ANSWER: 7 Years, 5 Months
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