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Re: President Trump's approval rating continues to climb 

By: Decomposed in POPE 5 | Recommend this post (1)
Tue, 05 Mar 19 3:54 PM | 51 view(s)
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Msg. 27030 of 62138
(This msg. is a reply to 27020 by kathy_s16)

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Re: "Despite that improvement, the numbers still indicate the president is vulnerable heading into the 2020 election. "
Incumbents never do well in polls against an unnamed opponent. That's because when people are asked the question, they tend to assume that the unnamed opponent is whoever they most like. Later, when the nomination process actually picks someone, these same people tend to go, "Oh. I don't like him nearly as much as [the unnamed, most-liked guy]."

Fantasy candidates are almost always better than real ones. I think that Trump is going to be fine. Joe Biden is the only candidate who I think has a real chance of beating him, and Biden could easily disintegrate between now and election day.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
President Trump's approval rating continues to climb
By: kathy_s16
in POPE 5
Tue, 05 Mar 19 8:38 AM
Msg. 27020 of 62138


President Donald Trump's job approval numbers continue to climb, according to the RealClearPolitics average of polls.

After an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll published Monday put Trump's approval rating at 46 percent among registered voters, his RCP average rose to 44.4 percent, his highest mark since October 2018 following the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.

Trump's highest RCP average of his presidency came was 46 percent after his inauguration. Two months later, it dropped below 44 percent and only briefly returned above that level in May, June and October of 2018.

Despite that improvement, the numbers still indicate the president is vulnerable heading into the 2020 election. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that 41 percent of registered voters plan to vote for Trump while 48 percent said they plan to vote for whoever ends up becoming the Democratic candidate. And Trump's disapproval rating remained high at 52 percent, although that was an improvement from the 54 percent the poll found in January and December.

When asked if it is more important that the 2020 Democratic nominee is able to defeat Trump than reflect their personal views on the issues, 40 percent of voters who plan to cast ballots in the Democratic primary said beating Trump is more important. Fifty-six percent said the candidate's policy positions are more important.

Altogether, 41 percent of registered voters said they plan to vote for Trump in 2020 while 48 percent said they preferred to vote for a generic Democratic candidate. By contrast, at about this point in former President Barack Obama's presidency, 45 percent of voters said they planned to vote for Obama while 40 percent preferred a generic Republican candidate.

Trump's rising poll numbers come despite the record 35-day government shutdown, which most voters blamed on Trump, and opposition to his use of an emergency declaration to secure funding to build a wall on the U.S.-Mexico border.

The poll was conducted from Feb. 24 to 27, so it does not necessarily reflect the impact if any, that former Trump attorney Michael Cohen's testimony to Congress might have on Trump's approval rating. Cohen called the president a "racist," a "liar" and a "cheat," and implicated the president in a number of illegal acts.

http://news.yahoo.com/president-trump-apos-approval-rating-181156523.html


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