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Re: Bad News for the Algoreans... 

By: ribit in POPE IV | Recommend this post (2)
Wed, 28 Mar 18 6:46 AM | 68 view(s)
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...watchin a thingy on statistics on pbs this afternoon. They were telling about some of the things that have been learned about predicting things based on statistics. They talked about Hillary losing and weather prediction amongst other things. During the segment on weather predicting they pointed out how weather was predicted and that even the tiniest of errors at the beginning of data collection can lead to predictions that are blown all out of proportion the further out they get from the original data. A simple typo, a misplaced decimal 10 points out, whatever. This would cause me to believe that falsified data today would increase exponentially the dire results of any computer model.

Now I gotta go rest my brain.




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Liberals are like a "Slinky". Totally useless, but somehow ya can't help but smile when you see one tumble down a flight of stairs!




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Bad News for the Algoreans...
By: Decomposed
in POPE IV
Wed, 28 Mar 18 4:47 AM
Msg. 46146 of 47202

March 27, 2018

Nothing Unusual Happening In Climate Change, Over 40 New Scientific Papers Confirm

By James Delingpole
Breitbart

The scare about global warming is overdone, according to more than 40 scientific papers published in just the first three months of 2018.

What their charts clearly show is that “nothing climatically unusual is happening.”

In the chart below from a study by Polovodova et al, we see that 20th century warming is perfectly normal in a long-term historical context. It was no warmer – indeed, is slightly cooler – than either the Roman Warm Period or the Medieval Warming Period.

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What we also learn from the papers is that these warming periods were global – not, as alarmists like to claim to support their scaremongering thesis, local:

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A number of strident global warming scientists prefer to dismiss the significance of Europe’s temperature record, claiming that it is local in nature and does not tell us what is really happening globally. However, other papers fully contradict this. For example, a paper by Wündsch et al., 2018 shows us that the warming today in South Africa also is nothing unusual.

It’s global, stupid

Temperature reconstructions show the same is true in Southeast Australia, according to McGowan et al., 2018, Northern Alaska (Hanna et al., 2018 ), the Tibetan Plateau (Li et al., 2018 ), South Korea (Song et al., 2018 ), Antarctica (Mikis, 2018 ), to cite just a few among dozens of others.

 
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In further bad news for climate alarmists, it seems that two of their favorite bellwethers of global warming doom – Greenland and the South Pole, are cooling not warming.

Here’s Greenland, from a study by Mikkelsen et al.

This puts Greenland’s recent warm spell in its historical context: over 150 years it wasn’t unusual. Temperatures now are cooler than they were in the 1930s.

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A separate study confirms that Greenland is on a cooling trend:

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Furthermore, much to the surprise of global warming scientists, Greenland temperatures have again been falling since 2000. Westergaard-Nielsen et al., 2018examined the most recent and detailed trends based on MODIS (2001–2015) and concluded that if there is any general trend for Greenland it is “mostly cooling”.
 
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As is the South Pole:

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At the other end of the planet at the South Pole, new findings by Cerrone and Fusco, 2018 confirm the large increase in the southern hemisphere sea ice and suggest it “arises from the impact of climate modes and their long-term trends”.

They write that the results indicate a progressive cooling has affected the year-to-year climate of the sub-Antarctic since the 1990s and that the SIC [sea ice concentration] shows upward annual, spring, and summer trends.

 
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Global warming? What global warming??

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2018/03/26/nothing-unusual-happening-in-climate-change-over-40-new-scientific-papers-confirm/


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