He has Dems at 51 as slightly more likely than at 49. Absolute squeaker in several states. Hoping HRC's big money ground game delivers a few surprises in the senate.
50/50 seems the best bet, it'll come down to NV, which essentially counts as 2, it is to close to lose NV and still come away with the Senate it seems. Hoff has NV +0.5, RCP -1.4, 538 +1 ... dems often under poll in NV IMO.
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