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Senate Update: GOP Candidates Are Doing Better Than Trump â€” And May Still Lose

By: clo in FFFT3 | Recommend this post (2)
Thu, 27 Oct 16 1:17 AM | 56 view(s)
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Msg. 26476 of 65535
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Senate Update: GOP Candidates Are Doing Better Than Trump â€” And May Still Lose
By Harry Enten

Democrats are still modest favorites to retake the Senate. They have about a 67 percent chance of winning a majority, according to the FiveThirtyEight polls-only and polls-plus forecasts. That advantage comes even as GOP Senate candidates are running ahead of Donald Trump in their states â€” much more than Republican Senate candidates compared with Mitt Romney four years ago.

Trump, of course, is losing to Hillary Clinton. In the 29 states with a Senate race (and at least one poll),1 Clinton leads by about 2 percentage points in the FiveThirtyEight polls-only adjusted polling average. In those same states, the Republican Senate candidate is leading the Democratic candidate by about 3 points, on average.

more:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/gop-candidates-are-doing-better-than-trump-and-may-still-lose/

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