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Re: Clinton Holds 11-Point National Lead Over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sun, 16 Oct 16 9:58 PM | 60 view(s)
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As more polls come in from the last week, it looks like she cannot get more than 49%. Again.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-clinton

His ceiling was reestablished at 44% recently. And it looks like even the alleged sexual predation isn't going to push him below 41%. So his range has narrowed.

We will all get excited by asynchronous moves within each person's range, but this race is very stable if you look back over the last year. So no reason for exuberance or panic wherever we are in the cycle.

I think the two of them are highly likely to end up inside their respective ranges, plus or minus the percentage derived from Clinton's ground game advantage.

If she wins, which looks very likely, there's no chance that a rigging argument will prevail. The American people consistently prefer her. He has been the perfect opponent.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Clinton Holds 11-Point National Lead Over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll
By: clo
in ALEA
Sun, 16 Oct 16 6:40 PM
Msg. 19865 of 54959

Clinton Holds 11-Point National Lead Over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll
OCT 16 2016, 8:59 AM ET

by MARK MURRAY
more:
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/clinton-holds-11-point-national-lead-over-trump-nbc-wsj-n666986


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