IN was a guaranteed GOP until old state fave Bayh somewhat surprisingly entered rather late. IL is a natural flip. Kirk was a 2010 GOper fluke in IL. He came in the same wave that kicked Russ outa WI. Russ is back, IL is going back to blue, the struggle is in the demographic battles of NV and NC, the quirky thing in NH, ongoing bipolarism in MO, and PA just never being sure one way or the other.
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