hi clo,
thanks. the change in direction of the polling trendline showed up several days ago, although i wouldn't quite call it a change in momentum yet. there's not enough force behind it. she's stopped going down. he's stopped going up. there was a gap of just under 4% when they were at their closest. neither is escaping their rut, which is better for her than for him.
trump goes down when he frees his mouth. which is why he doesn't look a good prospect for the debates. he might be the liar, the bully, the braggart, or the clueless trump. none play well. clinton reliably knows her stuff, which is a nice foundation to have, even if she is duller and less charismatic than your usual candidate. for myself, i find that appealing by comparison, these days.
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