Larry Sabato was on tv, he thinks Hillary could top 400 & he's not sure Trump will get 191.
The Electoral College: Pennsylvania Moves Toward Clinton
Key to Trump's chances, the Keystone State looks less promising for him
Kyle Kondik, Managing Editor, UVA Center for Politics August 11th, 2016
While there is some suggestion that Pennsylvania might be slowly trending Republican, and while it has a lot of the white, working-class voters that Donald Trump is targeting, recent polling has suggested that Hillary Clinton is obviously the favorite there right now. She leads Trump by close to seven-to-nine points in Keystone State polling averages, which suggests to us that whatever Trump is gaining in blue-collar western and northeastern Pennsylvania over traditional Republican performance is more than being canceled out by his tremendous weakness in diverse Greater Philadelphia and amongst college-educated whites in the state more broadly.
Therefore, we’re moving Pennsylvania from Leans Democratic to Likely Democratic in the presidential race, which is where we had it as of a couple of months ago. This doesn’t change our overall total of 347 electoral votes for Clinton and 191 for Trump — precisely where our map has been since we unveiled it March 31.
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-electoral-college-pennsylvania-moves-toward-clinton/
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