Hillary Clinton has a 76% chance of winning the presidency, our election forecast finds. See the state-by-state breakdown.
Tuesday, July 19, 2016 12:50 PM EDT
Our elections model suggests that Hillary Clinton is favored to win the presidency, based on the latest state and national polls. A victory by Donald Trump remains quite possible: Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing is about the same probability that an N.B.A. player will miss a free throw.
From now until Election Day, we’ll update our interactive forecast page with estimates that take new polls into account, as well as collect the ratings of other news organizations. You can also chart different paths to victory by selecting winners in the most competitive states.
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