I was only mocking up to super tuesday, I don't know what the calculator does after the 15th. Super Tuesday looks muchmore contested than the narrative indicates:
Super Tuesday
TX: Cruz (a solid 34%)
GA: Trump (33%, 538 gives Trump 41% chance, Rubio 37%)
TN, AL, MA just dont poll much
VA:Trump (at a very beatable 28%, 538 currently has Rubio leading at 45%)
OK: Trump (32%, cruz on his heels)
MA: Trump (40%, last polled around Halloween)
AR: Cruz (really just a 3-way)
AK: Trump (a Trump Cruz 2-way)
MN: Rubio (another 3-way)
CO: n.d.
Then following that is MI:Trump, FL: Trump (we'll see about that) NC:Rubio
And then it moves into winner take all, and I expect Rubio to be formidable at that point with others dropping out and most votes going not-Trump. It could easily be that when the delegates get to winner take all that Trump fails to win another delegate, miles away from the current narrative. Trump would benefit if it was the other way around, winner take all at first in a crowded field, proportional as the field narrows, and that is just not the narrative. My argument depends on Cruz getting progressively weaker. He's an a-hole, it will happen.