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Using the electoral tool at RCP

By: DigSpace in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sun, 21 Feb 16 10:36 PM | 59 view(s)
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Msg. 18174 of 54959
Jump:

and basically giving trump 31% of all states super tuesday, Carson and Kasich each given 5%, the rest given the RCP average with any undelegated balance left over given to Rubio (AND leaving 10% undelegated at the end) gives roughly:

Trump 300, Rubio 200, Cruz 160, Kasich 30, Carson 20, Bush 10 ... roughly.

That is the beginning of a losing convention for Trump. Second ballot sees defection of all of Kasich and Bush to Rubio. Eventually Cruz capitulates. Trump is not a conservative, they must settle on Rubio. Trumps lead is not commanding enough to beat the field.

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