« ALEA Home | Email msg. | Reply to msg. | Post new | Board info. Previous | Home | Next

Re: Trump and Sanders in Iowa and NH

By: DigSpace in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Thu, 28 Jan 16 9:19 PM | 102 view(s)
Boardmark this board | The Trust Matrix
Msg. 18010 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 18000 by Cactus Flower)

Jump:
Jump to board:
Jump to msg. #

The momo is good for Sanders in IA, I think momo is a wash in the GOP.

The likely outcome based on what generally happens in IA is Cruz and HRC.

Both have superior ground games vs. their leading challengers.

It is ground game that has given us the Santorums and the Obamas in IA.

On the GOP side when push comes to shove the evangelical wins. Both the Quinnipac and Monument poll breakdowns of self-identification and past participation and planning on attending with somebody or alone all point to good ol fashioned IA peer pressure - Cruz.

The moderate/slightly liberal young first time caucus angry trump supporter is going to have to go into somebody's living room that smells a wee bit like moth balls, join hands in prayer, discuss the candidates, join hands in prayer again, and then vote.

While Bern is not so encumbered on the other side, and he has a decent ground game, I think HRC will carry the day.

That said, a relation who did some stuff for HRC (and heck, has a picture with her) sounds like she feels the bern. And she's evangelical. So what do I know.


- - - - -
View Replies (1) »



» You can also:
- - - - -
The above is a reply to the following message:
Trump and Sanders in Iowa and NH
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Wed, 27 Jan 16 7:20 AM
Msg. 18000 of 54959

At this point, the momentum suggests Trump and Sanders win both Iowa and NH.

Trump wins the next 3 primaries in SC, Nevada and Florida.

HC wins SC, Florida and California.

I cannot see why the betting markets see anyone but Trump winning the Republican nomination.


« ALEA Home | Email msg. | Reply to msg. | Post new | Board info. Previous | Home | Next