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black swan

By: keystone in FFFT3 | Recommend this post (0)
Wed, 25 Nov 15 7:14 PM | 97 view(s)
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Msg. 17216 of 65535
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Vladimir Putin just learned a deep lesson in game theory.
That which will go wrong will go wrong. And that which is unexpected will have the most significance.

Ukraine blows up power lines to Crimea. Turkey shoots down Russian jet. Russia stops gas deliveries to Ukraine. Russia announces anti-aircraft missiles to Syria.

With only Russia and Nato left flying, Russia
can only take down an American, British, French, Turkish, Jordan, UAE, or Israeli fighter jet.
That's a pathway to disaster.

Russian air power is most rationally used in an open coalition with Nato.
Without Crimea, Putin joins with the US, instead of all this go nowhere bullshit.
If Obama, Cameron, Hollande, Merkel, Erdogan, and Putin can't sort it out, only the lunatics of islam benefit.

The Saudis are caught with their own shia-sunni angst, their go-nowhere Yemen war, and all their OPEC comrades blaming them for the collapse in oil prices.
Those rag-headed bastards deserve all the stress they can get. Extorting the world for forty years has not earned the Saudis too many friends.

The world has been living on an edge of an economic nightmare since the end of Bush2's Presidency.
All the unbacked money printing that has sustained the world economy is contingent on an ever expanding float. Which all realize is not sustainable.
There is not a rational human being on Earth that does not understand exactly what quantitative easing actually means.

The world needs Russian oil flowing to Europe and Asia. The world needs Iranian and Iraqi oil flowing to Europe and Asia.

India and China need dependable supplies of oil and gas so that they are not forced to develop more coal mines to inevitably destroy the Earth.

Human development cannot be stunted because of a cartel that controls the production of hydrocarbons.
All cartels fail, but helping them fail is the only rational policy.

Moore's Law makes solar generation of most of man's energy needs inevitable. Cheaper. Abundant. Renewable.

Obama seems to be in control of everything.
From the South China Sea to the Pyongyang rapprochement, to Castro's Mass with the Pope, to the Turk's protecting Incirlik.

Obama is laughing his ass off at everybody, and when he read the article this morning about the Clintons earning 30 million dollars, he set his sights on a nice place in Hawaii.


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