El Nino will be 'substantial', warn Australian scientists
http://news.yahoo.com/el-nino-weather-system-begins-tropical-pacific-australia-053103198.html
...if ya predicts a huge el nino every year sooner or later you will be right. The press will declare ya to be a mystic.

Liberals are like a "Slinky". Totally useless, but somehow ya can't help but smile when you see one tumble down a flight of stairs!