Latest on our El Nino:
Update prepared by:
Climate Prediction Center / NCEP
12 January 2015
ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch
ENSO-neutral conditions continue.*
Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across most of the Pacific Ocean.
There is an approximately 50-60% chance of El Niño conditions during the next two months, with ENSO-neutral favored thereafter.*
Ohhh btw - you ever poke around flyertalk?
Good site for such a seasoned air traveler as yourself.