"ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch
ENSO-neutral conditions continue.*
Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across the Pacific Ocean.
There is an approximately 65% chance that El Niño conditions will be present during the Northern Hemisphere winter and last into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2015.*
* Note: These statements are updated once a month in association with the ENSO Diagnostics
Discussion, which can be found by clicking here.
We'll take the 65%.