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Re: raise $1m at the expense of a loss of market value of around $10m

By: tkc in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Fri, 15 Mar 13 8:04 PM | 77 view(s)
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Msg. 12893 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 12890 by Cactus Flower)

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Hi CF, I just don't see how they could increase current A/P as in Q3 they exceeded total rev by ~$5.5M. COH @ $2M was about as low as it can be. A/R has deceased for 4 continuous Q's. In my mind that only leaves three areas as sources to keep doors open: financing, increased rev and decreased OpEx.

Assume they decreased OpEx from $12.6 to $11.5 ($1.85 is non cash) and they used all the $3.3 PP and got ~.250 more from ESPP and warrants et al. That would leave $6.1 that had to be paid requiring $6.5 in rev.

But CF that would leave them w/ a little more than 2 weeks working capital - they went 11 weeks into Q1. I just can't figure how they could do that w/o total destruction of the balance sheet, massive layoffs or significant increase in rev. So I'll stick w/ $10+ and be wrong again.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: raise $1m at the expense of a loss of market value of around $10m
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Fri, 15 Mar 13 6:41 PM
Msg. 12890 of 54959

hi tkc,

looks like you have 10+ to yourself over here.

but i'm relying on your prescience to get me close to my 34-8m for the year.

can hardly believe that my wild pessimism ended up probably being too high.

7 - 8 - 9 - 10-14.


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