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Re: most remarkable post-election revelation

By: DigSpace in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Fri, 09 Nov 12 8:00 PM | 83 view(s)
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Msg. 11594 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 11592 by Cactus Flower)

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moreover, an extremely enthusiastic vote and a modestly enthusiastic vote both score as one vote. And the price of enthusiasm you mentioned was shown in the polls ... in the self-identification affiliation numbers. They refused to allow themselves to measure the price even though it was being measured for them.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: most remarkable post-election revelation
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Fri, 09 Nov 12 7:57 PM
Msg. 11592 of 54959

absolutely spot on.

i'll tell you something else. i think that they were right that there was enthusiasm amongst republicans for replacing obama. this enthusiasm was real. but the price of enthusiasm from the right was loss of appeal to the middle. and so romney got fewer total votes than mccain.

instead of enthusiasm implying high population, the enthusiasm was coming from a smaller population of highly motivated people. it meant the folks voting for romney were especially enthusiastic. they turned up to events. but an enthusiastic voter still only has a single vote.

electoral support is bimodal by nature. but obama's support sat closer to the middle spot where the population bell curve is at its greatest.

it appears that white men are much more likely to be far right. they are enthusiastic about far right ideas. but there just aren't enough of them to win an election.

that's the way i interpret things, anyway.


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