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Re: Exit Poll

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Tue, 06 Nov 12 10:48 PM | 86 view(s)
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Msg. 11406 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 11405 by xcslewis)

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hi csl,

good one.

fortunately, pollsters usually sample a few more folks than csl's friends.

illinois, as you know, shows o +19-20%. in chicago the dems have the blacks, latinos and unions, as well as hordes of dependents with pre-existing conditions (and lots of children)!! ;-)

in general, i'm expecting poor exit polls for obama, as he has been getting dem votes done early. meaning this is likely to be more of a republican day than most.

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Exit Poll
By: xcslewis
in ALEA
Tue, 06 Nov 12 10:05 PM
Msg. 11405 of 54959

According to my exit poll in Illinois Romney is leading 14 to 0 in Illinois.

The poll includes two Libertarians, four Democrats, seven Republicans, one independent.

One 20 something, four 30 somethings, three 50 somethings, four 60 somethings and two eighty somethings.

One Hispanic, one African-American, 12 White.

Three voted for Obama in 2008.

However, my sample may be slightly skewed and I don't expect Romney to will get all the votes in Illinois.


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