Msg. 11404 of 54959 (This msg. is a reply to
11400 by
DigSpace)
Jump:
exactly. drew linzer at votamatic has already shown that the pollsters are clustering, which he suggests means some of the wilder pollsters are trying to save their reputations by staying close to the mean.
so really this means only the dumbest bad apples stand out at the end.
alea, I know that Nate uses a complex weighting method in his poll aggregations , which must totally irk the hell out of the polls trying to shift the average of the polls ... not a big deal when he was less followed, but a real thorn in their method when he is followed. They would have to become more random in their behavior as opposed to outright biased in order for him to not sniff them out.
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