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Msg. 11352 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 11351 by Cactus Flower) |
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wherever possible, assigning swing states according to state averages - blumenthal at pollster: o 303 r 235 rcp: o 303 r 235 silver at 538: o 303 r 235 tpm polltracker: o 303 r 235 linzer at votamatic: o 303 r 235 sam wang at princeton: o 303 r 206 (no split for florida 29) electoral-vote.com: o 294 r 220 (no split for colorado 9 and north carolina 15) looks like strong agreement on the quantitative treatment of the polls pretty much. o 303, r 235. now it is up to the ground game and voter enthusiasm for additional variables on the day. i guess 303 is the most likely. i will stick with my outlier at 332 so as not to be conformist. hope mags bags nc for o. |
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