wherever possible, assigning swing states according to state averages -
blumenthal at pollster: o 303 r 235
rcp: o 303 r 235
silver at 538: o 303 r 235
tpm polltracker: o 303 r 235
linzer at votamatic: o 303 r 235
sam wang at princeton: o 303 r 206 (no split for florida 29)
electoral-vote.com: o 294 r 220 (no split for colorado 9 and north carolina 15)
looks like strong agreement on the quantitative treatment of the polls pretty much. o 303, r 235.
now it is up to the ground game and voter enthusiasm for additional variables on the day.
i guess 303 is the most likely. i will stick with my outlier at 332 so as not to be conformist. hope mags bags nc for o.