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Re: Long Odds for Romney in NC, Iowa and Colorado!

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 05 Nov 12 7:03 AM | 78 view(s)
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Msg. 11317 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 11300 by Cactus Flower)

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the most extraordinary numbers are coming from nc.

mags on the ground feedback is tantalising. if o wins nc, it will be a better result than i was expecting.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Long Odds for Romney in NC, Iowa and Colorado!
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Sun, 04 Nov 12 2:43 PM
Msg. 11300 of 54959

oh woe, mags.

i think that those numbers that were quoted must be wrong or optimistic at least.

here's a set of data

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html

colorado not so good (unless your guy knows something about independents that isn't readily apparent to me).

fl and nc do look pretty good.

not sure where your guy's ohio figures come from.

even so, i think the polling averages will mostly assert themselves one way or another.


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