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Re: Long Odds for Romney in NC, Iowa and Colorado!

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sun, 04 Nov 12 2:43 PM | 52 view(s)
Boardmark this board | The Trust Matrix 		Msg. 11300 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 11298 by Cactus Flower)
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oh woe, mags.

i think that those numbers that were quoted must be wrong or optimistic at least.

here's a set of data

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html

colorado not so good (unless your guy knows something about independents that isn't readily apparent to me).

fl and nc do look pretty good.

not sure where your guy's ohio figures come from.

even so, i think the polling averages will mostly assert themselves one way or another.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: Long Odds for Romney in NC, Iowa and Colorado!
By: Cactus Flower in ALEA
Sun, 04 Nov 12 7:31 AM 		Msg. 11298 of 54959

hi mags,

this is extraordinary, if true. especially north carolina. must be the fabled ground game. so much for the enthusiasm gap. sounds like the makings of a landslide?

"Based on ballots already cast in states that allow early voting, Mitt Romney would need to win 65 percent of remaining voters in North Carolina, 59 percent in Iowa and Colorado, 58 percent in Nevada, and 55 percent in Florida and Ohio, President Obama’s campaign manager said Saturday."

Read more: Obama campaign's Messina: Long odds for Romney in N.C., Iowa and Colorado - Washington Times http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/nov/3/obama-campaigns-messina-long-odds-romney-nc-iowa-a/#ixzz2BDhyAUu0
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