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five of last six national polls show o in lead

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sun, 04 Nov 12 2:10 AM | 47 view(s)
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Msg. 11294 of 54959
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Ipsos/Reuters (Web) NEW! 10/30 - 11/3 4,920 LV 47 46 4 Obama +1
UPI/CVOTER NEW! 11/2 - 11/2 1,074 LV 49 48 - Obama +1
PPP (D-Americans United for Change) NEW! 10/31 - 11/2 1,200 LV 49 48 3 Obama +1
Rasmussen NEW! 10/31 - 11/2 1,500 LV 48 48 2 -
Purple Strategies 10/31 - 11/1 1,000 LV 47 46 7 Obama +1
JZ Analytics/Newsmax NEW! 10/30 - 11/1 1,030 LV 48 46 6 Obama +2

the other one, rasmussen, shows a draw.

majority doesn't matter for electoral college, but shows apparent swing bluewards to match state polls.

ipsos/reuters is a large poll, and therefore more likely to be accurate than a smaller equivalent.

i had a suspicion that rasmussen would move towards reality at the last minute in order to attempt to preserve its reputation as a pollster for the next election. it seems to be doing so.

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