yes it does seem NH is going blue, it is a tough call for NH, what with Mitt being so many peoples Landlord ....
NH needs to go blue to prevent, almost certainly, the cluster of a Romney/Biden win. It seems any tie generally goes through NH as red.
I had for very long hopeful for VA, but then I got all depressed and tri-polar. I would not be suprised to see VA give Obama a Sandy bounce, just enough to eek one out.
Take VA and NH and one can lose all of FL, OH, IA, CO and NC and walk with 270 spot on.