CF,
We respect Karl Rove but also know that he can be full of shit!!! The only unease that we have here is the turnout dcountrywide. We live in the red state part of blue state Illinois and we can tell you that these people down here are going to turn out in mass to vote Barack Obama out of office if they can. We saw a CNN poll that put republican enthusiasm at ten points higher (69% to 59%) over democrat enthusiasm. Much of this may be coming from red states that Romney is going to win anyway, however, just a point or two increase in overall turnout on either side may make all the difference in the end.
To summerize, enthusiasm ad turnout are going to be the keys to this election. Looking at Gallop, they have Obama and Romney tied among registered voters but, before they suspended due to Sandy, had Romney up about four to five points in likely voters, which dovetails into an enthusiasm gap. Whomever has the best ground game on election day may carry the day. Obama's is good and we will see how good Romney's works out to be.
There are intangibles to this campaign and the free publicity that president Obama has gotten with all of those photo's of all of those flood survivors hugging him with shopworn faces is priceless and worth more than mere money can buy! Another intangible is the climate change issue that mayor Bloomberg brought up in his endorsement of president Obama. Many independents and unaligned voters are vitally interested in this issue and Romney is merely paying a very little bit of lip service to the issue. With two huirricanes hitting the east coast in thirteen months, whomever is in charge over the next four years matters.
IOVHO,
Regards,
Joe
To say that "God exists" is the greatest understatement ever made across space and time.
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