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Re: mid-west's holy trinity

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Sat, 27 Oct 12 2:38 AM | 39 view(s)
Boardmark this board | The Trust Matrix 		Msg. 11070 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 11069 by clo)
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nice article by silver, but now out-dated as there have been new polls since then which have moved colorado and iowa further towards o.

for myself, i think the red states are getting redder, but the swing states are shifting slightly bluewards. r's head of steam from the first debate has run out. he lost the next two and he has no more arrows in his quiver.

reversion to the meme. o is a much stronger candidate.

i used pollster last time and it has the advantage of a well-constructed regression line. i was off by two states in 2008. but i think pollster was about as accurate as silver if you click on the swing states, maybe one less correct. http://www.pollster.com/polls/2008president/

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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: mid-west's holy trinity
By: clo in ALEA
Sat, 27 Oct 12 2:12 AM 		Msg. 11069 of 54959

There was a great moment on TV today, Obama shirt sleeves rolled up with a big grin, jogging on the tarmac. Just wonderful!

Muffin's co-chair John Sununu, on CNN last night with Pierce Morgan, said Colin Powell endorsed Obama because of his race.
Its not the first time Sununu has said outrageous things about Obama.
I think he's a scumbag...

Muffin hasn't say boo...
He is a empty suit... NO COURAGE, none!

October 26, 2012, 1:32 pm290 Comments

Oct. 25: The State of the States

By NATE SILVER

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/26/oct-25-the-state-of-the-states/

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