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Re: 271 electoral votes for o based on opinion polls

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Fri, 26 Oct 12 6:49 PM | 46 view(s)
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Msg. 11059 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 11052 by Cactus Flower)

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actually, barring catastrophe, i really don't see how o loses.

he is treating the election as a thing that runs for several weeks rather than a last day thing. so they have already pulled a huge number of voters through the voting booths. 60-30 lead thus far, or so time says.

it's not good enough for r to make up the ground to even in ohio. he has to be 5% ahead amongst those who haven't voted but intend to.

meanwhile, as 1/7th of the population of ohio had already voted within a few days, democrats had voted in much larger numbers. so o's machine on the ground can focus on turning out ever-diminishing numbers of dems. the size of his team relative to the number of voters grows as time passes.

i assume they are doing the same thing in every state.

may be over before the ads begin to roll en masse.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
271 electoral votes for o based on opinion polls
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Fri, 26 Oct 12 5:27 PM
Msg. 11052 of 54959

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map

r has to break down o's persistent lead in ohio, nevada or wisconsin, plus win all the 6 other tossup states (another 76 votes).

tough job.


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