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Re: TIME Poll: Obama Leads by 5 in Ohio

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Thu, 25 Oct 12 3:11 AM | 61 view(s)
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Msg. 11017 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 11015 by DigSpace)

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dig,

you should go back and read the article. it's all about early voting and obama is creaming romney. apparently early voting is big in ohio. who knew?

so by the time your exit polls appear, obama's ground game is going to have the state in the bag, i reckon.

i'm still at 332. call me crazy. but i distrust polls that seem quite heavily done by right-leaning pollsters. i suspect poll purchasing is done strategically. call arg, gravis and rasmussen to suggest a head of steam. whenever the polls i trust come along, a different pattern reappears. i think obama is ahead by 3-4% in ohio. rove or no rove.




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: TIME Poll: Obama Leads by 5 in Ohio
By: DigSpace
in ALEA
Thu, 25 Oct 12 2:20 AM
Msg. 11015 of 54959

When VA, FL and perhaps NH flipped, that put it in the realm of one criminal act. I am not saying I will automatically reject the legitimacy of an OH outcome, but will be definitively cautious. In the event of exit polls deviating meanifully from reproted numbers .. then I smell a crook.

Why?

Historically most instant exit polls are the most reliable thing there ever is in the world ... folks, in that moment, right after they voted, just can't help themselves but to say it one more time. It is generally spot on, near perfect in its validity ... except for FL and OH.

Maybe those humans are just a whole bunch different than the other 7 billion humans out there. It is going to take a bit for me to wash away the facts that in FL, the gov was the Pres brother, and in OH, for whatever reason, the only machines available to tabulate votes are in Rove's garage.

While I think it is likely the election will be won or lost on its merits, my penchant for such likelihood is not in the 99.9% realms is should be ... it hovers around 65%.

They can, and will, if opportunity presents conduct themselves criminally. I believe that. I do not believe they can simultaneously steal multiple states .... but Obama has let this become about one state ... and in any one state dispute, crooks win.


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