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Nate Silver on Gallup

By: Magdelina in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Fri, 19 Oct 12 3:08 AM | 137 view(s)
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Msg. 10893 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 10888 by DigSpace)

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http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/18/gallup-vs-the-world/#more-36284




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The above is a reply to the following message:
For the Record
By: DigSpace
in ALEA
Thu, 18 Oct 12 10:23 PM
Msg. 10888 of 54959

a hole, previously known as Gallup;

Gallup: (10/11-10/17) Romney +7 (52/45) again 52!!
Rasmussen: (10/15-10/17) Romney +2 (49/47)

One does not win elections with gallup at 7 points against you. The gallup poll requires some serious change, whiplash style change.

True, gallup is a long running 7 day poll, but that is the whole point, it captures a broader more durable image over time ... it has lost some 10 points or more:

please visit The Record:

#msg-757032

#msg-757375

#msg-757953

#msg-760273

#msg-760551


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