bollocks.
I appreciate the notion of the media trying to get a kinda scientific snapshot ... but scientists, people who do science, can tell what one can or cannot do.
I am not swiping one opinion under the rug or another, I sweep them all under the rug. From what i remember some said this or that, it is dumb fug stuff.
Oddly, and i know this may seem a bit aloof, but the best indicator I have ever seen is the gang Charlie Rose assembles post ANYTHING.
He brings in many, obviously requires that they place reason before just stump, but the things his groups says will likely happen ... pretty much are the things that end up happening.
So Chucks team puts this now into a clean tossup, with OB having the edge in many areas, notably electoral and perhaps ground game, that largely they have neutralized the narrative (one that they used to own, and they lost) ... but neutral is better than just being bitched at.
Broadly, I hold to my current flow interpretation,
Romney wins, .... I'm not sure of the value of any numbers after that.