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Re: obama upturn

By: clo in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Tue, 16 Oct 12 11:05 PM | 116 view(s)
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Msg. 10857 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 10853 by DigSpace)

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Dig,

ND is in play.
Heidi Heitkamp (D) She was on Chris Matthews & she is a tiger! She's the AG of the state & is fired up & ready to go, knows stats & very personable.
She's a blue dog D.
Tied to date.

Her opponent, Rick Berg (R) was recently interviewed, he's only for abortion if the mother is at risk, not for rape or incest.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/nd/north_dakota_senate_berg_vs_heitkamp-3212.html




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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: obama upturn
By: DigSpace
in ALEA
Tue, 16 Oct 12 6:54 PM
Msg. 10853 of 54959

gradually.

An EMT must first stop the arteries squirting the stuff across the room, having that established one can then go about the process of saving the patient.

But a lot of blood is a lot of blood.

The glimmer is in the solidifying of the strength of the Senate candidates.

Senators (state wide races) can certainly give insight into what is selling.

I have long considered Tommy in WI unbeatable, he has never lost a statewide election, the state just put Gov Walker back in office with a rather convincing victory in the recall vote ... but the polls were spot on in that and those same polls have Tammy +3. A remarkable showing.

In CT even Rasmussen has Murphy +5 ... and similarly Warren +2 in MA.

These are not trivial matters, it is difficult to imagine Romney winning if both Murphy and Warren win, and more so if Baldwin manages to notch WI.

The RCP ave for OH is Obama +2.2 ... and it increasingly looks like the OH rule may well hold, that a Red win requires a OH win.

Tonight's debate represents an opportunity for Obama to singularly, above all else, attempt to nail OH. Bringing FL back into greater contention would throw Mitt back onto his heels again ...

But that is all just wishful thinking.

Last time I looked OH voting machines were routed through some computer in Rove's garage ... I kid not.

By allowing FL to go Red, OH becomes the battle, and while I would certainly rather be Obama than Mitt trying to win OH, I place no limits on Rove in OH.

If Blue loses OH, they must win VA ... yikes.



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