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Re: The upper midwest

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 15 Oct 12 11:08 PM | 119 view(s)
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Msg. 10839 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 10837 by DigSpace)

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i care about rasmussen's pattern but not its absolute polling numbers. obama looks 4-6 ahead in ohio to me.

the only time it looks like a swing state is after concentrated polling by rasmussen and gravis.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-ohio-president-romney-vs-obama?gem

as regards iowa and wisconsin, also +4 to obama.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-iowa-president-romney-vs-obama?gem

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-wisconsin-president-romney-vs-obama?gem


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The above is a reply to the following message:
The upper midwest
By: DigSpace
in ALEA
Mon, 15 Oct 12 11:05 PM
Msg. 10837 of 54959

The only staggering thing to me, in all the polls, the thing that makes me thinks Obama might squeak this on out is the upper midwest;

IA Rasmussen 10/7 OB +2 (49/47) (but 10/7 is by no means current, hence i give IA to Mitt)

WI Rasmussen 10/9 OB + 2 (51/49) (10/9 is more what I am interested in...)

But those two states, from Rasmussen, BOTH still holding for OB is inconceivable to me.

which leaves the decider ... and I will make no bones about this, in the modern era, fraud in US politics is rare, but it occurs, the producer of fraud is Rove, and his stomping ground is OH.

So,

OH Rasmussen (10-/10) Obama +1 (48/47).


Shivering to Mitt is the 51/49 split in WI ... that kinda fully decided and you lose number is unusual in this polling season.

Generally, bob and weave within the spread have been vacillating undecided with both forts having an anchor of 46-47%. Wi is expressing some conviction with a 100% decided or leaning response.


Ryan was left in the odd circumstance of criticizing the stimulus, which he sought funds under, and which created jobs in Janesville. Congressman Ryan was in the unenviable position of saying he used something to help constituents that he is against ... as if to promise he would not do it again?



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