The only staggering thing to me, in all the polls, the thing that makes me thinks Obama might squeak this on out is the upper midwest;
IA Rasmussen 10/7 OB +2 (49/47) (but 10/7 is by no means current, hence i give IA to Mitt)
WI Rasmussen 10/9 OB + 2 (51/49) (10/9 is more what I am interested in...)
But those two states, from Rasmussen, BOTH still holding for OB is inconceivable to me.
which leaves the decider ... and I will make no bones about this, in the modern era, fraud in US politics is rare, but it occurs, the producer of fraud is Rove, and his stomping ground is OH.
So,
OH Rasmussen (10-/10) Obama +1 (48/47).
Shivering to Mitt is the 51/49 split in WI ... that kinda fully decided and you lose number is unusual in this polling season.
Generally, bob and weave within the spread have been vacillating undecided with both forts having an anchor of 46-47%. Wi is expressing some conviction with a 100% decided or leaning response.
Ryan was left in the odd circumstance of criticizing the stimulus, which he sought funds under, and which created jobs in Janesville. Congressman Ryan was in the unenviable position of saying he used something to help constituents that he is against ... as if to promise he would not do it again?