I speak not just towards Rasmussen et al, while I acknowledge their impact, i would point out that they and Gallup had flipped flopped.
Moreover, more centrist and more historically accurate CBS, NBS, and PPD (with some lean) have variably thrown FL, CO, VA and of course NC ... couple that wit the fact that I will never believe IA does Obama unless I read it on the Friday AFTER the election, and I get 275.