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Re: The Challenge

By: DigSpace in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Mon, 15 Oct 12 9:12 PM | 83 view(s)
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Msg. 10831 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 10830 by Cactus Flower)

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I speak not just towards Rasmussen et al, while I acknowledge their impact, i would point out that they and Gallup had flipped flopped.

Moreover, more centrist and more historically accurate CBS, NBS, and PPD (with some lean) have variably thrown FL, CO, VA and of course NC ... couple that wit the fact that I will never believe IA does Obama unless I read it on the Friday AFTER the election, and I get 275.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: The Challenge
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Mon, 15 Oct 12 10:38 AM
Msg. 10830 of 54959

hi dig,

i think you may be overreacting to polls run by the rasmussen, gravis arc. they've been hard at work creating an impression. but when have you relied on them previously?

if you keep an eye on the guys who aren't reliably right-leaning, ohio looks like it is bottoming out with obama plus four to six. http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-ohio-president-romney-vs-obama?gem

and improving economics also help: http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/30-days-fundamentals-favor-obama/story?id=17414910#.UHusGFHN2Jm

i think there's likely to be a countrywide bounce back up a point or two around here. especially if he works harder in the next debate. surely he has folks working up a few counter-arguments here so he doesn't have to think on his feet all the time. so much easier if you only have to think about outliers.

by all accounts, he's studying for this one.


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