nate's opinions reflect available data, and will change if and when data changes, as nate so often says.
My comments do not dispute nate's current opinion, but wander into a different area of speculation where nate stately does not play ... and certainly nate has more discipline in amending perceptions based on data until a more robust set has arrived.
Nate's current projects vote totals for FL, IA, VA, and CO are all a hare's breath over 50, all with number sets that are currently deteriorating, and with which his lagging technology will need to play catch-up in the next 5 days as old numbers purge and new numbers cycle in.
Most recent samples for those 4 states are less than encouraging. Losing those 4 states migrates towards my 275. In such a case, NV, WI, OH and NH become must wins ... states I expect to be won.
Ryan failing to deliver WI, particularly if it proves to be decisive will/would be sweet.
| 
