joe, its funny, I always paint IN with a big fat red brush ... the northern most redneck southern state in my completely uninformed arrogant hologram.
you seem to have your finger on the IN, so-IL, Ohio valley neck of the woods, and polling definitely supports the notion (yours I think and mentioned before I think) that the OH valley is smelling a fake.
So, what's up in Kentucky?
Seems R+14 in KY, is crossing the river that big a deal, or is it no urban area to serve as any sort of blue anchor?
http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20120916/NEWS0106/309160046/Romney-has-large-lead-Kentucky-Bluegrass-Poll-shows?nclick_check=1