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Re: The MI poll

By: Cactus Flower in ALEA | Recommend this post (0)
Thu, 13 Sep 12 6:39 PM | 102 view(s)
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Msg. 10008 of 54959
(This msg. is a reply to 10007 by Cactus Flower)

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mi is michigan!

regression shows a 4 point lead

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-michigan-president-romney-vs-obama?gem

silver shows 96.2% chance of Dem win.

also, the mi economy is doing better than most with lower than average unemployment, thanks to the gm bail-out.

I think it is a very likely win for O also.


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The above is a reply to the following message:
Re: The MI poll
By: Cactus Flower
in ALEA
Thu, 13 Sep 12 6:31 PM
Msg. 10007 of 54959

Hi dig,

the linear regression shows fairly robust support in Minnesota:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-minnesota-president-romney-vs-obama?gem

Nate Silver shows it as 96.9% Dem probability.

I've got that one in the blue column myself.

I see 10% undecided with O over 50%.

whoops. that's mn.


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